12 May,2009 01:49 PM IST | | Ranjitt Khomne
It's a report chief minister Ashok Chavan would not even like to touch with a a barge pole. In what may come as a rude shock to him,u00a0 a confidential report culled from inputs given by various intelligence agencies has predicted a devastating debacle for the ruling Cong-NCP combine saying the BJP-Shiv Sena will walk away with 28 of the total 48 Lok Sabha seats in the state leaving only half, that is 14 seats for it.
Authoritative government sources told MiD Day that various reasons like voter apathy, resentment against the candidates, dissatisfaction with the ruling combine, and presence of the Maharashtra Navnirman Sena and the Bahujan Samaj Party in the fray were responsible for the the likely surprises on May 16, the day the counting takes place.
Incidentally, two days ago NCP chief Sharad Pawar said that the results could open a bag of surprises.
The report predicts the fall of heavyweights like Milind Deorau00a0 Gurudas Kamat in Mumbai, Union ministers Suryakantatai Patil and Vilas Muttemwar, Pankaj Bhujbal in Nashik, Suresh Kalmadi in Pune, AICC general secretary Mukul Wasnik in Ramtek, Naresh Pugalia in Chandrapur and importantly that of Bhaskarrao Patil Khatgaonkar, the brother in law of chief minister Ashok Chavan in Nanded and Padamsinh Patil, Sharad Pawar's brother in law in Osmanabad. In Latur, former CM Vilasrao Deshmukh's domain, it states the BJP will win. Chavan who did not attend PM's rally in Latur on April 21, could not be reached for comments.u00a0
How the predictions were made:
The report is a result of two months of efforts by government officials who mingled with the electorate, attended public rallies, chatted with party cadres, voters, civil and police officials.
BJP-SS: 28
Cong-NCP-RPI: 14
MNS: 1
Others: 5
Total : 48
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Predictions:
Mumbai/Thane: BJP-SS: 6, Cong-NCP: 3
Mumbai North: Ram Naik (BJP) beats Sanjay Nirupam (Cong)
Mumbai North West: Gajanan Kirtikar (SS) beats Gurudas Kamat (Cong)
Mumbai Northeast: Kirit Somaiya (BJP) beats Sanjay Patilu00a0(NCP)
Mumbai North Central: Priya Dutt (Cong) beats Mahesh Jethmalani (BJP)
Mumbai South Central: Eknath Gaikwad (Cong) beats Suresh Gambhir (SS)
Mumbai South: Mohan Rawle (SS) beats Milind Deora (Cong)
Kalyan: Anand Paranjape (SS) beats Vasant Davkhare (NCP)
Thane: Sanjeev Naik (NCP) beats Vijay Chowgule (SS)
Palghar: Baliram Jadhav (IND) beats Damudar Shingada (Cong) and Chintaman Vanaga (BJP)
Bhiwandi: Jagannath Patil (BJP) beats Suresh Tawre (Cong)u00a0
Konkan:
Raigad: Anant Gite (SS) beats AR Antulay (Cong)
Ratnagiri-Sindhudurg: Nilesh Rane (Cong) beats Suresh Prabhu
North Maharashtra: BJP-SS: 4, Cong-NCP: 1
Nandurbar: Suhas Natawadkar (BJP) beats eight-time MP Manikrao Gavit (Cong)
Dhule: Pratap Sonawane (BJP) beats former minister MLA Amrish Patel
Jalgaon: AT Patil (BJP) beatsu00a0Vasant More (NCP)
Raver: Haribhau Javale (BJP) beats Ravindra Patil (NCP)
Dindori: Narhari Zhirwal (NCP)u00a0wins
Nashik: Hemant Godse (MNS) beats Pankaj Bhujbal (NCP)
Vidarbha: BJP-SS: 7, Cong-NCP: 3
Buldana: Dr Rajendra Shingne (NCP) beats Prataprao Jadhav (SS)
Akola: Sanjay Dhotre (BJP) beats former minister Babasaheb Dhabekar (NCP) and former MP Prakash Ambedkar (Republican)
Amaravati: Anand Adsul (SS) beats Rajendra Gawai (RPI-G)
Wardha: Datta Meghe (Cong) beats Suresh Waghmare (BJP)
Ramtek: Krupal Tumane (SS) beats Mukul Wasnik (Cong)
Nagpur: Banwarilal Purohit (BJP) beats Vilas Muttemwar
Bhandara-Gondia: Praful Patel (NCP) beats sitting MP Shishupal Patle (BJP) and Nana Patole (Ind)
Gadchiroli-Chimur: Ashok Nete (BJP) beats Marutrao Kowase (Cong)
Chandrapur: Hansraj Ahir (BJP) beats Naresh Puglia (Cong)
Yavatmal-Washim: Bhawna Gawli (SS) beats Haribhau Rathod (Cong)u00a0
Marathwada: All eight seats for BJP-SS
Hingoli: Subhash Wankhede (SS) beats Suryakantatai Patil (NCP)
Nanded: Sambhaji Pawar (BJP) beats Bhaskarrao Patil Khatgaonkar (Cong)
Parbhani: Ganesh Dudhgaonkar (SS) beats Suresh Warpudkar (NCP)
Jalna: Raosaheb Danwe (BJP) beats Kalyan Kale (Cong)
Aurangabad: Chandrakant Khaire (SS) beats Uuttamsingh Pawar (Cong)
Beed: Gopinath Munde (BJP) beats Ramesh Kokata Adaskar (NCP)
Osmanabad: Ravindra Gaikwad (SS) beats Padmasinh Patil (NCP)
Latur: Sunil Gaikwad (BJP) beats Jaywant Awale (Cong)
Southwestern Maharashtra: Cong-NCP: 5, BJP-SS: 4
Solapur: Sushilkumar Shinde (Cong) beats Sharad Bansode (BJP)
Madha: Sharad Pawar (NCP) beats Subhash Deshmukh (BJP)
Sangli: Prateek Patil (Cong) beats Ajit Ghorpade (Ind)
Satara: Udayanraje Bhosle (NCP) beats Purushottam Jadhav (SS)
Kolhapur: Sadashivrao Mandlik (Ind) beats Chhatrapati Sambhaji Raje Shahu (NCP)
Hatkanangle: Raju Shetty (Swabhimani Shetkari Sanghatna) beats MP Nivedita Mane (NCP)
Maval: Gajanan Babar (SS) beats Azam Pansare (NCP)
Pune: Anil Shirole (BJP) beats MP Suresh Kalmadi (Cong)
Baramati: Supriya Sule (NCP) beats Kanta Nalawade (BJP)
Shirur: Shivaji Adhalrao (BJP) beats Vilas Lande (NCP)
Ahmednagar: Dilip Gandhi (BJP) beats Shivaji Kardile (NCP)
Shirdi: Ramdas Athavle (RPI-A) beats Bhausaheb Waghchaure (SS)u00a0
(The above results are predictions only, according to the intelligence report)
