18 March,2011 07:53 AM IST | | Rajneesh Gupta
If Bangladesh beat South Africa on Saturday, India's march 20 clash against West Indies will become a must-win game
As England beat West Indies and kept themselves in the race for a quarter-final spot, here are the different scenarios in Group B:
Scenario 1:
IF South Africa beat Bangladesh on Saturday India's match against West Indies will be of no importance (other than deciding the teams' ranking in the group). South Africa, India, England and West Indies will qualify from the group. Although both Bangladesh and West Indies will have six points each if West Indies lose to India in the last league match, it is almost impossible for Bangladesh to match West Indies on net run-rate and hence they will lose out.
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Scenario 2:
South Africa lose to Bangladesh on Saturday Bangladesh will be through to quarter-finals with 8 points and India, West Indies and England will fight it out for the other two places (South Africa are already through).
In this scenario, India's match against West Indies becomes crucial.
If Dhoni's men beat WI...
India will be through to the quarter-finals, along with South Africa, Bangladesh and England.
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If India lose, West Indies will be through to the quarter-finals along with South Africa and Bangladesh. India and England will be on 7 points and net run-rate will come into play. India can qualify by beating England on net run-rate. For this, they will have to take care of the following:
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If West Indies bat first and score...
300... India should not be bowled out below 140.
250... India should not be bowled out below 93.
200... India should not be bowled out below 46.
150... India will be through even if they are dismissed
for 0.
If India bat first and score...
100... they should not allow West Indies to reach the
target before 20.2 overs
150... they should not allow West Indies to reach the target before 20.4 overs
200... they should not allow West Indies to reach the target before 21 overs.
250... they should not allow West Indies to reach the target before 21.3u00a0 overs.
300... they should not allow West Indies to reach the target before 21.5 overs
Note: If the India-West Indies match is abandoned, then both qualify for the QF.
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