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RBI projects India’s retail inflation at 4.6 pc for FY27 amid robust Rabi crop

The Reserve Bank of India projects India’s CPI inflation at 4.6 per cent for 2026–27, aided by a strong Rabi crop improving food supply. However, risks from rising global oil prices, West Asia tensions, and possible El Nino conditions could push inflation higher

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RBI adopts cautious wait-and-watch approach on evolving economic conditions. Representational Image

RBI adopts cautious wait-and-watch approach on evolving economic conditions. Representational Image

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Wednesday projected the country’s inflation rate based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for 2026-27 at 4.6 per cent as the near-term food supply prospects have been boosted by a robust Rabi crop which provides some comfort amid rising oil prices in the international market due to the Iran war. 

RBI Governor Sanjaya Malhotra said, “The pass-through of higher global energy prices has resulted in price increases in select fuels such as premium petrol and LPG and diesel for industrial use. On the other hand, the near-term food supply prospects have been boosted by robust Rabi crop providing some comfort.”

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