Debt-to-GSDP ratio jumps to 20.2 per cent in 2020-21, up from 16 per cent in 2019-20, and the 2020-21 Budget Estimate of 16.2 per cent
Chief Minister Uddhav Thackeray. Pic/Ashish Raje
Maharashtra, which has the single largest share in national GDP at close to 16 per cent and the state worst hit by the pandemic, has fallen into the worst debt trap with fiscal deficit hitting the highest since 2005-06 at 3.3 per cent, up over 175 per cent, according to a report.
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In line with higher-than-budgeted deficit ratios, the state's debt-to-GSDP ratio has jumped to 20.2 per cent in 2020-21, up from 16 per cent in 2019-20, and the 2020-21 Budget Estimate of 16.2 per cent, India Ratings said in the report quoting revised budget estimates for FY21.
According to the revised estimate, the revenue account has a deficit of 1.7 per cent of GSDP in 2020-21 as against the Budget Estimate of 0.3 per cent which in 2019-20 was 0.6 per cent.
The state has projected a reduction in the revenue and fiscal deficits to 0.3 per cent and 2.2 per cent of GSDP, respectively, in the FY22 Budget. Though the agency expects the state to be able to maintain a fiscal deficit under three per cent, the debt burden is likely to jump to 20.6 per cent in 2021-22. The fiscal slippage originated entirely from the revenue side. Revenue receipts were lower by Rs 57,960 crore of the shortfall in state's own tax revenue.
As against such a high revenue shortfall, total expenditure was lower only by R24,880 crore. Of this, revenue expenditure was compressed by Rs 21,290 crore and capex by Rs 3,590 crore. But, the plunge in revenue receipts was much higher, resulting in a fiscal slippage of Rs 33,078 crore in FY21, which is 60.6 per cent higher than FY21 budget estimate, it added.
The most-industrialised state's fiscal deficit jumped to 3.3 per cent of gross state domestic product (GSDP) in 2020-21, against the Budget Estimate of 1.7 per cent, which was 1.9 per cent in 2019-20, and this is the highest fiscal deficit since 2005-06.
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